China sets growth target of “around 5%” as it reels from Trump tariffs happymamay

Joao da Silva

Business correspondent, BBC News

Getty Images workers work on the pre -silk production line in a Chinese factory. She wears a blue hat and a white apron over her sea blue costume. Gety pictures

China has set an economic growth goal for this year “about 5 %” and pledged to pump billions of dollars into its sick economy, which is now facing a trade war with the United States.

Chinese leaders have revealed the plan as thousands of delegates attend the National People’s Congress (NPC), a rubber contract, which makes the decisions that were already taken behind the closed doors.

But the week -long gathering is watched closely to obtain evidence of Beijing’s policy changes – this year is more important than most.

President Xi Jinping was already fighting his consumption constantly, the real estate and unemployment crisis, before the new Donald Trump tax entered 10 % on Chinese imports on Tuesday.

This is a 10 % tariff imposed in early February, with the total US tax reached 20 %. It strikes what was a rare bright point for the Chinese economy: exports.

Beijing returned almost immediately on Tuesday, just as it happened last month. It has announced retaliatory measures that included a 10 % -15 % tariff on some agricultural imports from the United States. This is essential because China is the largest market for these goods, such as American corn, wheat and soybeans.

However, at this week’s meeting, known as two sessions, the lights will be on how to stimulate growth in the wake of these definitions.

Beijing managed to achieve the goal by 5 % last year, but the growth was driven by a strong export, which led to a surplus of almost trillion dollars.

Repeat this will be more difficult this year. “If the definitions remain in place, Chinese exports to the United States can decrease by a quarter of a third to a third,” says Harry Murphy Cruz, China’s Economics President at Moody’s Analytics.

Beijing will have to accredit more than ever on local spending to achieve 5 % growth – but that was one of its biggest challenges.

The spending crisis

Analysts say expanding the local demand, which was the third goal at last year’s meeting, can now move to the top of the priority list.

Beijing has already put forward plans to encourage its people to spend more, including allowing them to trade and replace consumer goods such as kitchen appliances, cars, phones and electronic devices.

Getty President Xi Jinping, in a black suit, is conceived through other party leaders who stand and clap with his arrival at the opening ceremony of the Chinese Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on March 4, 2025. Gety pictures

A political advisory body in China, which includes X (C), met on Tuesday

But it is widely expected that there will be a large number of new programs to raise spending. Whether it will be enough to enhance consumption is the main question.

The harsh restrictions dating back to the era of the epidemic along with a long real estate crisis and a governmental repression of technology and financing companies have fed pessimism between the Chinese people. Weak social safety means that savings have become particularly decisive in the event of unexpected expenses outside the pocket.

But the leadership of China is optimistic. “While the economy was facing challenges such as low demand, it was important to realize that the economic basics in China are stable, there are many advantages, strong flexibility, and great potential.”

Development “High Quality”

It is expected that investment in what President Shi calls “high quality development”, which covers high -tech industries from renewable energy sources to artificial intelligence (AI), is a major axis.

The second largest economy in the world, China has long competed to become a global leader in technology, in part to reduce its dependence on the West.

Government media have already described recent examples such as Deepseek and Unitree Robotics, both of which have caught the global attention, as examples of “technological progress” in China.

Deepseek in particular witnessed a share of shares, as analysts pointed to the renewal of interest in China among foreign investors.

“The new energy industries in China and the general green transition are driven by their advanced technologies, they will remain important growth engines.”

But the new American drawings – which come to the introduction of the first tariffs from Trump – can be surprised by these plans, not the least of which are because they can reduce investor morale.

“The chaos left by the definitions in its wake is the crepeonte investment,” says Mr. Murphy Cruz. “The customs tariff is scheduled to provide one punch for the Chinese economy, and to drop strikes for both exports and investment.”

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