Zimbabwe, President Mnangagwa, Blessed Geza and the drama of succession happymamay

A long convoy of armored personnel tanks rolling in the Harari neighborhood – for a moment of shortness – raised a military coup in a swing in Zimbabwe.

“What is happening in Zimbabwe?” One person posted on social media. Another said: “The last time it happened was a coup.”

Government spokesman Nick Mangwana quickly was to calm the audience’s concerns, explaining that the tanks were in the capital that in the middle of February as part of a scheduled exercise to test the equipment and “nothing to worry”.

However, gossip and speculation continued, and a lot revealed the country’s condition.

Before the routine military exercises, President Emerson Manangagua, for the first time since he became president in 2017, faced harsh criticism about his leadership from within the Zanu-PF party with his calls for step down.

The accusations raised the memories of the period leading up to the coup that toppled his predecessor, his leader, Robert Mugabe.

He had reached power in 1980 as a revolutionary hero who ended contracts from the rule of the white fly. But his demise was boding when he withdrew the veterans of the independence war in the 1970s, their support for him.

He was an old warrior in war and a great member of Zanu-PF called Mubarak Geza, also known as “Bombshell”, who launched an oral attack against Mnangagwa.

It became angry when some inside the party began to pressure the country’s laws to allow the president to search for a third term.

In a series of press conferences often, which were bravely photographed and with curly forehead, he repeatedly called the 82 -year -old president to go or face being removed.

“I must apologize for helping him to reach his position,” Giza told a news conference.

“Once [Mnangagwa] “It was the taste of power, as corruption escalated, people forgot and only remember his family,” said the veteran in the explicit war, which was then a member of the strong central committee in Zanu-PF.

“Manangjoa surrendered the state’s strength to his wife and children. Unfortunately, we see history repeating itself. We cannot allow this to happen.”

Zanu -PF was angry at his “non -mixed” notes – which he later described as “reaching treason” – forcing the bomb to hide in terms of, through his actors, continuing to heat it through social media, and skill to the protests.

It is required by the police for four charges, including stealing vehicles, undermining the president’s authority and inciting public violence.

MHLANGA, the journalist who first met the bomb in November, He was also arrested on charges of sending a message inciting violence.

The problem started to ferment the Manghajoa ambitions to stay in office during the Zanu-PF gatherings last year. The president is currently spending his second and final term, which expires in 2028.

The slogan “2030 which the leader will remain” began to pronounce his supporters despite the Zimbabwe constitution, which limits the presidential conditions to two periods for five years.

They argued that he would need to stay in office to complete the “2030 Business Schedule” program while he was doing a great job.

Then a unanimous proposal was adopted at the Zanu-PF conference in December, which did not speak explicitly about a third term, but sought to extend the current Mnangagwa term until 2030.

Despite the recent confirmation of Mnangagwa that he was planning to step down in three years, the influential Roman Catholic bishop was involved.

In a pastoral speech last week, the Catholic Bishops Conference in Zimbabwe warned that the 2030 discussion was a distraction from the things that are really of interest – closing business, high unemployment, outbreaks and economic policies that prefer the wealthy at the expense of the ordinary Zimbabwe.

Presidential spokesman, George Shararamba, expressed his disappointment about the clergy’s statement, and he told the state -run Herrad newspaper that the matter is now “dead and buried.”

However, it seems that Bombeshil’s message has fallen. This has led to a cleansing in Zanu-PF, with the expulsion of Geza and some of its allies.

However, political analyst Takura Changza says that Jeza is unlikely to swear by the crowds.

He says that people are less interested in such political glasses, unlike the time of the fall of Mugabe when it was found that Zimbabwean, including supporters of the opposition party, collectively to support the coup – thanked the army and old warriors.

“Even the attempt by Geza to talk about corruption and the ordeal of workers – will not make people explode, organize or mobilize. They have no ability or attention anymore.”

“I can promise you that there is no repetition of 2017 before 2028,” he said, adding that Zimbabwe feels that they were used in Mugabe’s expulsion and they will not be brought in the streets again because of the Zanu-PF internal battles.

This is also because there are splits across the political scene, including weak opposition.

Mr. Changza says that even ancient warriors do not represent a unified front.

GEZA has previously expressed support in the caliphate discussion of Vice President Constantine Chewinga, the former commander of the 68 -year -old army, but it is known that other warfares in the war support the agenda of 2030.

Political analyst Alexander Roussero says it is important to understand the role of ancient warriors in both Zimbabwe and Zano PF.

“They see themselves as those standing on care, so you cannot get rid of their feelings,” he says to BBC.

However, he believes that the current grievances that are broadcast by Bombshell are more motivated than self -size than the public interest.

“They feel as if they were excluded from the cake they should enjoy,” he says to BBC.

Mr. Zhangazha agrees that those who show loyalty within the ruling party are likely to benefit from things such as tenders, government contracts, access to housing, lands, and agricultural inputs such as fertilizers and seeds.

For Jameson Timba, leader of the main opposition party, Citizen Citizen Alliance (CCC), all this summarizes the state of politics in Zimbabwe.

“You have a country where the economic situation is deteriorating,” he told the BBC. “People cannot carry more than one meal a day,” he told the BBC.

He said: “We have major supermarkets that are literally closed,” referring to the economic problems facing OK Zimbabwe, one of the largest retailers in the country who were forced to close many large branches with empty shelves in others.

Mr. Zhangazha pointed out that the fragile economy expectations seem more severe thanks to the repercussions of the recent suspension of the American Agency for International Development.

Timba is still recovering from a five -month period in prison, where he spent most of his imprisonment sitting on a tangible floor, and the participation of a cell and toilet with 80 people.

He was arrested in June, along with more than 70 others, for hosting a “illegal meeting” at his private residence when he was holding a barbecue to celebrate the international day of the African child.

He told the BBC that his treatment – and those with arrested salvation – reflected how the opposition policy was criminalized.

He said: “The country is facing challenges. Any leader or government deserves salt that will actually call for early elections, to verify and determine whether they still have an authorization for the people.”

“Doing the opposite mainly represents a joke [when] You are talking about extending the office’s duration. “

However, there is a little opportunity for early vote.

Currently, Bombeshyll is still in hiding and elections years away – but the caliphate discussion will continue to cook.